Pebble Beach Pro-Am Weekend Weather Could Shake Up the Leaderboard | Round 3 Preview (2026)

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is heating up, but the weather might just cool things down! With the tournament entering its final rounds, the leaderboard is packed with contenders, and the weather forecast could shake things up.

A Tight Race at the Top
Ryo Hisatsune (+550) and Akshay Bhatia (+380) are currently sharing the lead, showcasing their skills at the iconic Pebble Beach. Hisatsune maintained his top position with another impressive round, while Bhatia stormed into contention with an 8-under 64 on Friday. They are closely followed by Rickie Fowler (+550) and Sam Burns (+650), who are just one stroke behind, setting the stage for an intense battle.

A Shifting Landscape
As the tournament bids farewell to the amateurs and Spyglass Hill, the focus shifts solely to Pebble Beach. The leaderboard is remarkably close, with numerous players within striking distance. But here's where it gets interesting: the weather is about to make its presence known.

Weather's Impact on the Game
The opening rounds saw low scores, especially at Spyglass Hill, which played nearly 2.5 strokes under par in round two. However, the calm conditions won't last. Saturday's forecast predicts overcast skies with winds picking up in the afternoon, reaching gusts of 25 mph and potentially intensifying on Sunday. This change will challenge the leaders and provide an opportunity for players like Scottie Scheffler (+3000), who is nine strokes behind, to make a move.

Rory McIlroy's Aggressive Approach
Rory McIlroy (+2200), sitting at T17, is just one stroke outside the top 10. His strategy has been aggressive, relying heavily on his driver, which has given him an edge when finding the fairway. McIlroy's ball-striking has been exceptional, gaining +2.71 strokes on average. The only hiccup? His putting, where he's lost ground. But don't count him out; he's a skilled putter, ranking 5th in the field for Strokes Gained: Putting. If he can find his rhythm on the greens, he could be a force to reckon with.

Jake Knapp's Quiet Confidence
Jake Knapp, currently in the top 10, has been flying under the radar. His recent form is impressive, with top finishes at the Sony Open, Farmers Insurance Open, and WM Phoenix Open. Knapp's strength lies in his driving, gaining significant strokes off the tee in his last three starts. His accuracy and distance control have been key, and his third-round performance has been exceptional this season. By combining his driving prowess with improved putting, Knapp could be a dark horse for a top finish.

And this is the part most people miss: the weather's impact on the leaderboard could be dramatic. Will the leaders hold on, or will we see a surprise winner? The stage is set for an exciting conclusion, and the weather might just be the wildcard that decides the fate of this tournament.

Pebble Beach Pro-Am Weekend Weather Could Shake Up the Leaderboard | Round 3 Preview (2026)
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